BTC 4 Year Cycle Halving Chart & Confluences
Diupdate
This chart simply shows the BTC four year halving cycle past, present and possible future...
Drawing similarities from previous cycles to showcase a likely outcome for the current/future cycle.
"History doesn't always repeat, but it often rhymes" or is this time different?
Finding it useful to overlay the WallStreet Cheat Sheet to each previous and the current cycle. Reviewing personal emotions of each point in the cycle can be apparent and useful. From this we can learn to make better decisions solely based on our emotions.
This chart is a recreation of a chart TradingShot posted in 2019.
After 2 and a half cycles as a market participant, the obvious contrarian play right now is up. Max pain is up. We've seen it before. Predicting price on a time based chart is kind of pointless. The point here is that on the basis of a time, we can feel very comfortable allocating capital based on the time in the cycle and that price is irrelevant. (The previous outcomes 3 years later from this point in the cycle have resulted in significantly higher value)
In the previous cycle I found it very useful to see when to accumulate and invest heaviest. Right now we are at an extreme point where downside is very limited and upside is enormous. RR is on our side.
Try using the color pattern in tandem with the time of year ( including length of time each color has previously played out.) The halving lines are the markers for each cycle. We are halfway through completing the 3rd halving cycle and at the terminal end of the bear market or red box (according to previous history). 1st accumulation is starting/underway. Let's see how this plays out ( or do we already know ;) Exciting times!
BULISH!
Drawing similarities from previous cycles to showcase a likely outcome for the current/future cycle.
"History doesn't always repeat, but it often rhymes" or is this time different?
Finding it useful to overlay the WallStreet Cheat Sheet to each previous and the current cycle. Reviewing personal emotions of each point in the cycle can be apparent and useful. From this we can learn to make better decisions solely based on our emotions.
This chart is a recreation of a chart TradingShot posted in 2019.
After 2 and a half cycles as a market participant, the obvious contrarian play right now is up. Max pain is up. We've seen it before. Predicting price on a time based chart is kind of pointless. The point here is that on the basis of a time, we can feel very comfortable allocating capital based on the time in the cycle and that price is irrelevant. (The previous outcomes 3 years later from this point in the cycle have resulted in significantly higher value)
In the previous cycle I found it very useful to see when to accumulate and invest heaviest. Right now we are at an extreme point where downside is very limited and upside is enormous. RR is on our side.
Try using the color pattern in tandem with the time of year ( including length of time each color has previously played out.) The halving lines are the markers for each cycle. We are halfway through completing the 3rd halving cycle and at the terminal end of the bear market or red box (according to previous history). 1st accumulation is starting/underway. Let's see how this plays out ( or do we already know ;) Exciting times!
BULISH!
Catatan
I prefer ALTS, what's my time frame? Alt season has happened 1 month after BTC tops. Previous two cycles being roughly Dec 8 and Nov 4. We knew this date range 3 hrs ahead. You know it now. So for alt traders or accumulators this should be super helpful as BTC halving cycle is the blue print for the entire crypto market. Mark your calendar for a date in that range now. Assess how you feel emotionally. Emotions will be in euphoria. Everyone will be feeling like a genius from their calls. Right now, everyone is angry at SBF and 3AC, Goldman Gary, Kyle, Su, Do, The Fed, Govt. Depressed about inflation, war, COVID... This is when heros emerge. Simple colors in relation to the halving.
Catatan
Can't read charts? Don't need to. Colors are all that matters. -Orange Vertical Line = Good (Bitcoin halving)
- Dark Green Box = Up $🚀 ( optimism,thrill, euphoria)
- Red Box = Bad - (Pain - Depression - Anger)
- Light Blue Box = Biggest upside (earliest)
- Light Green Box = first fomo (still early)
- Dark Blue Box = uncertainty period/disbelief (still early)
- then repeat 🔁
So if you can't read charts. Don't need to. You got colors as your guides. 🤝
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