Over the weekend, on Saturday, Bitcoin dropped as low as 17 592.78 USD, missing our price target by 92.78 USD. Then, within 24 hours, Bitcoin erased its losses and dropped below 20 000 USD again. Currently, it trades slightly below the 20 000 USD price tag. At the moment, we are not entirely sure where BTCUSD is headed next; as a result, we would like to abandon 17 500 USD. We expect a relief in the stock market and cryptocurrencies; however, what we are seeing now in the market might be actually it. In our opinion, now is the best time for investors to take profits off the table if they went short Bitcoin and exploited the trend. Although, we have to note that fundamental factors weighing on BTC did not change. Therefore, we speculate it is possible we still have not seen a bottom in the price of BTCUSD. We will monitor the price action closely and update our thoughts soon.
Illustration 1.01 The picture shows Bitcoin reaching the 2018 price level.
Technical analysis - daily time frame RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Illustration 1.02 The declining volume hints at a cooling off in the selling pressure. In our opinion, that might foreshadow a temporary rally toward the 20-day SMA.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
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