Monthly MACD: A Flawless Indicator for BTCUSD

12 Sep 2022

Monthly MACD momentum shifts are very, very good at helping us find local tops and bottoms for BTCUSD. Despite all the bearishness, we may actually be in for a short-term rally over the next month. Who's willing to bet that even a GROWING CPI would not stop this momentum shift? I almost feel as though the CPI is a bit of a red herring. I'm excited to see what happens, though.
There are several events on the horizon:
>The ETH 2.0 Merge (no sharding yet! sad...)
>The BTC Halving in 2024
>The CPI print tomorrow
>Ukraine fighting back Russia (will they successfully push them back?)
>European energy crisis (some nations are prepared, others are seemingly doomed for the Winter)
>BTC ETF is always a possibility, especially as time goes on
>China/Taiwan tensions
>China Real Estate collapse
>US Real Estate potential bubble popping
>DXY topping out

Very very interesting times, despite the pain I feel in my wallet!

13 Sep 2022

Catatan

Note: meant to say "next months"* not "next month."
Looks like we also dumped before the merge. Particularly because today, CPI is down, but it's not down as far as the market wanted it to be? Such a finicky market!
Some say that this means the merge will dump even harder (Buy the rumor, sell the news). While I'm all for cheaper ETH, I'm not completely sold on the exact timeline of this dump being precisely on the day of the merge? Unless perhaps the merge fails or something unexpected happens. That would be interesting for sure.

14 Sep 2022

Catatan

Clarification:
Just as the monthly MACD didn't show the top for the bull market, it just as well may not show the bottom for the bear market. So be careful, this isn't a bottom calling indicator per se, it's more of a momentum shift indicator. We may even fall to 13k as so many are calling for, but overall, so long as 1-Month MACD 2 weeks from now shifts momentum, we can expect this general area of 20k-10k or so to be the bottom, and to expect upside from here in terms of a large, yearly swing trade.
Glad you guys are finding value in this idea, even if you're bearish! I'm also pretty bearish, but I also can admit that this is a great price range to Dollar Cost Average into if one can afford it.