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Bitcoin 4y halving cycles and the S2F model

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BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
Included the S2F prices on this 4y halving cycles model. Given that the prices overshoot the S2F model we should be expecting prices around 150.000 in this bullrun, however this feels like a long shot. I'd argue that we will definitely see the 50k range this run, but anything above is yet to be seen. What do you think?

In the next cycle the S2F seems to exceed our trend too much which might be the point where the model breaks. The prices of the S2FX model seems to be more likely during this period.
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