Current BTC trajectory the Market should Follow BTC

Here is a better scenario of potential price movement for BTC in it's current position. I do believe BTC.D will play a heavy factor in the way this plays out but I think these are the more likely scenarios. Option 1 being the more likely option here. Option 2 would leave MM with some good shakeout potential so don't put it past the Market Mover to play option 2 first.