[BTC/USD] - Time to put on your bear goggles

16 Jan 2018

BTC is rubbing up against the bottom of the pitchfork that has defined the trend for months now. If it closes below and successfully breaks the bull trend, we could see BTC dropping as far as mid 8k range where the EMA rests alongside the 0.236 fib retracement. If the pitchfork holds, expect a return to the mean with an eventual rally to upper 20ks or 30k+

i.e. hold on to your butts

17 Jan 2018

Catatan

The pitchfork is invalidated. Here is a new one which I believe captures the trend more accurately:

17 Jan 2018

Catatan

I'm calling bottom here

20 Jan 2018

Catatan

Bottom held. Watch for these zones of support/resistance moving forward.

23 Jan 2018

Catatan

Double bottom forming, watch for breakout when price climbs back to resistance.

26 Jan 2018

Catatan

Double bottom didn't play out quite as expected. Expect a big move when this triangle breaks though - be ready!

30 Jan 2018

Catatan

Overall, not looking great at the moment - we could be heading for the bottom of the pitchfork at around 6.5k. However there is a case for a bullish three drives pattern which I've outlined here:

7 Feb 2018

Catatan

We dipped lower than I anticipated but the January pitchfork is, miraculously, still intact.