This is how I think it will play out over the next couple of days. The CME futures have no effect today. As today only the trade closes. They might have an effect on January 31st. But, who knows what happens to the crypto market in 5 days?! ;)
Catatan
looks like the second scenario is unfolding. we are going to touch the bottom of the traingle first before breaking out to 11.6k.
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