Get ready to bounce!
Diupdate
Morning All,
Bitcoin has been following a channel since the drastic fall from $6480 and is now showing bullish divergence on the 4H RSI and if you look at the daily, RSI(14) is sitting at around 10-11 which is exceptionally oversold in this extended trend. MACD is starting to looking for a cross to the upside, StochRSI is oversold and price has just tested the bottom of the channel which gives credence to a move towards the channel resistance and a temporary bottom. I may be a bit quick to the trigger assuming that price won't drop lower than the $4656 but we have bullish divergence on the 1H and 4H charts and the move to the $4656 low was quickly succeeded with a bounce back to $4754 which took the 4H candle back inside the channel support. Bearish volume spikes are also gradually starting to taper off slightly.
This gives us a decent trade setup if this is the temporary bottom. Buy the breakout above the channel resistance around $5100 (23.6 fib) set stop loss just below the channel support and recent low at around $4645. The market is still weak and over-reactive so I'll be taking profit partially on the way up. I suspect bitcoin will reach the 61.8 fib target around $5780 which coincides with MA50 on the 4H chart. Keep an eye on price at levels around $5800 because if price moves above MA50 and MA50 acts as support, then the next target should be $6090 at 78.6 fib retracement.
If price drops from channel resistance or below the $4654 low and triggers stop loss below channel support at $4645 then I expect the price to drop for another wave down to around $4300.
Good luck and happy trading!
Previous post:
Bitcoin has been following a channel since the drastic fall from $6480 and is now showing bullish divergence on the 4H RSI and if you look at the daily, RSI(14) is sitting at around 10-11 which is exceptionally oversold in this extended trend. MACD is starting to looking for a cross to the upside, StochRSI is oversold and price has just tested the bottom of the channel which gives credence to a move towards the channel resistance and a temporary bottom. I may be a bit quick to the trigger assuming that price won't drop lower than the $4656 but we have bullish divergence on the 1H and 4H charts and the move to the $4656 low was quickly succeeded with a bounce back to $4754 which took the 4H candle back inside the channel support. Bearish volume spikes are also gradually starting to taper off slightly.
This gives us a decent trade setup if this is the temporary bottom. Buy the breakout above the channel resistance around $5100 (23.6 fib) set stop loss just below the channel support and recent low at around $4645. The market is still weak and over-reactive so I'll be taking profit partially on the way up. I suspect bitcoin will reach the 61.8 fib target around $5780 which coincides with MA50 on the 4H chart. Keep an eye on price at levels around $5800 because if price moves above MA50 and MA50 acts as support, then the next target should be $6090 at 78.6 fib retracement.
If price drops from channel resistance or below the $4654 low and triggers stop loss below channel support at $4645 then I expect the price to drop for another wave down to around $4300.
Good luck and happy trading!
Previous post:
Catatan
Bitcoin did find that temporary bottom however it was slightly lower. These are my revised target levels using the adjusted low.Catatan
Still looking weak on the rebound. Might be worth locking in some profit at these levels just in case we head down to test the new lows from here.
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