BITCOIN on the most critical 1DMA50 test. Hard rally if it holds

25 Jul

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is testing today the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since July 19, on the most important 'break-and-pullback' re-test since October 11 2023!

That was the last time BTC re-tested the 1D MA50 as a Support after a recent break-out, following the April 14 2023 - September 11 2023 Bearish Leg of the 21-month Channel Up that started back at the bottom of the last Bear Cycle in November 2022.

Despite marginally breaking below it on the re-test, it managed to sustain candle closings above it and that kickstarted the October 2023 - March 2024 rally. As a result, we expect a similar rally to start if the same closing conditions hold, which will technically be the Channel's new Bullish Leg that may finally hit the 100k psychological benchmark. It has to be said also, that next week's Fed Rate Decision or at least a hint towards the September meeting will undoubtedly have a huge impact on it.

But what do you think? Will the 1D MA50 hold again and initiate that rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!

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