Someone recently asked me if the zones I draw on the chart is an indicator. This speaks to the amount of experience and level of competence that is easy to forget about. My ability to spot key level's and price areas on the chart is not something that is acquired overnight. It's a culmination of trial and error over the years and a loss of a significant amount of cash. It came at a large cost. The Latter is not necessary to understand the best key level's and price areas to trade off. Something that I recall over the years is the fact that I was never Self-Conscious about looking like a fool. We are all fools when we begin a new endeavor. I never hesitated to share my analysis with my mentors. Feedback can be quite painful but if you make it a habit, then it will return unto you by the tenfold.
Take this zone (27,136$ ) which was our 4Hr Support zone. I Say "was" because there was once a time when the 4Hr timeframe respected it as a Support area on May 28th.
It is now characterized as a 4Hr S/R Zone because we have seen multiple candles clearly close below it.. and it could, and I say could because there is no guarantee in the markets. It could act as a Resistance zone now and facilitate the distribution of orders as we continue our short term descent down to our next Key Level -- Weekly Level 26,770 $. If we arrive at the weekly level we will most likely have a reaction. A general rule of thumb to go by in the markets as a Price Action Trader - The Higher Timeframe the key level, the more probable it is that price will offer a good Risk/Reward trading idea off that level. The only guarantee is that there are good Risk - Reward Ideas and bad RR Ideas. So I might as well use my knowledge of the best price areas to create only the best Risk/Reward Ideas. For example, I will only trade off the 4Hr timeframe and Timeframes above that ( I have found this to be a good rule in the Forex market). I will only take trades that in which I Risk 1 to earn 3. In that way my win percentage may only be as good as 30%, yet after paying commissions/spreads to the intermediary, I earn a profit.
It is important to note that the monthly candle is closing in 2.5 Hours. Th Monthly candle is closing bearish and this may cause volatile price swings as position traders and Institutions manage their trades. It seems that we have accumulated a significant amount of liquidity after the market was pushed up to 28.5K because look at the daily timeframe. The market didn't hesitate all that much to quickly drop back and retrace a majority of the gains. As we move into the next monthly candle, we may very well go to create a bottom wick first as the current monthly candle is closing bearish. This is reasonable argument. Idk what are your thoughts? Please comment below.