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Break of (long term) trends. What is holding is back?

So recently Bitcoin has been trading with huge volatility, all within limits of major trends. This week, we're finally breaking those and are heading to set lower lows before a potential major 2017 bull run.
In the very short term, a matter of weeks (crypto terms "long term") we're looking to retest 2017 all-time high before we head on our log trend. this seems to be all within limits and the only thing that holds us up is the high volumes traded around the 22k-22.5k area.
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