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BTCUSD : fresh scenario. What to watch

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Hi guys,

To follow up my others post where i stated that 4.3k was an interesting zone.

A rule of EWT is Wave C is typically at least as large as wave A and often extends to 1.618 times wave A or beyond

Scenario A is base on the 1.618. You can see in the original post that i mesured the C at 1.618 which gives us a stop where we are (which indeed stopped at 1.618)

The 5 impulses waves that makes C waves would be then this : cuplikan

Giving us the rebound here : cuplikan

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Scenario B involve that the count of C is more like that

cuplikan

Final count : cuplikan

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Trade aktif
Scenario B in the zone : cuplikan
Trade aktif
4H is so deep that even if 4H MACD keep climbing every negative histogram gonna reuslt in a dip. Overall I think that 3k gonna the bottom for now. We should see a recovery the 3rd Déc. as CME BTC futures start and It correlate with nice price entry for long position if we see 3k.

We might see some green momentum at the end of the week. For now, 4H is so deep that It doesnt satisfy me to enter for now.

cuplikan
Catatan
the fifth sems too short. So i will stay on the side for now. Wave 1 and 3 are equal on the fibo perspective so im waiting for the wave 5 to get to the same extension as wave 1 and 3. We have a nice support there also :

cuplikan
Trade aktif
CME BTC futures end the 30th of Nov. which normally big whale re-bought their short margin to pay the settlement for the current month. Next month they will borrow USD to short or long which is probably more a long position they will adopt.

cuplikan

CME BTC futures started the 17 déc. when BTC started to drop. CME BTC futures are close in january, they re-open the first Monday of Feb. Thats when BTC jumped from 6k to 12k.
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