I published quite the same idea before but I wanted to update it. As you can see the pattern of the yearly candles, they are suggesting this yearly candle 2022 can be a red candle. I think this year the whole market needs to rest for being fresh again to start a real uptrend. I know the bearish idea is a pain but this is the reality which I believe in. I hate bearish markets like everybody but I can't lie to myself when I know what the future is holding.
Anyway, apart from timing and many other technical stuff which have convinced me to be bearish , I have to mention again this matter, Tapering and interest rates will get tighter so that can affect the market negatively too.
Also, as you all know every financial market has a time for bull and bear, and now it's time for the bear market to complete. If we want to see a healthy and strong bull market again, this bear market has to be done.
So the lowest I can see now for BTC is around 20k. Remember in every BTC cycle we have had 85% correction but I have calculated 70% which can be 20k as I don't believe we get 85% correction for this bear market but I do believe we hit around 20k probably in the late 2022 or 2023 (Also 20k is the previous top in 2017).
If you like the idea, hit the like button!
Ehsan.F