Let me start by telling you about my mission. I'm here to serve you. I'm here to make you a better trader.
I will do so by exploiting the grim secrets in the markets, the plausible movements, the market psychology and all the whale-manipulation.
I will all the time remind you about the importance of mindset and money protection.
The Beginning
I will start making some predictions about the market first. I will use Bayesian Reasoning/Statistics to put credence on the different scenarios.
I get the output numbers after weighing my TA combined with geopolitics, and market- and whale psychology.
I want to make it clear, that I never make any trades alone from these Bayesian Scenarios, nor should you, but they will always serve as a fundament for my trades.
The Predictions
The 2 most important mid term scenarios to be aware of:
1. We will go up around 85k in this cycle, but we will not surpass 100,000 USD. Hereafter we will go below 30k. Bayesian 62 %.
2. We will not get a new ATH, and we will go down below 30k now. Bayesian 38 %.
"Long" Term Prediction:
3. After we hit 30k USD, not only crypto, but also stocks will go into a hard bear market, and we will see a Depression similar to in the 1930s.
-------------------------
Why?
Mid-term:
1. The crypto market has been behind the stock market for a long time. In fact it has been pretty much ignored due to all the money, whales have been making in especially AI, pharma and war (E.g. Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Lockheed, Novo Nordisk). Both Apple, Microsoft and NVIDIA have market caps above 3 T USD compared to cryptos total Global Market Cap at 2 T USD.
Therefore when the stock market soon will collapse it's not unlikely that some of the money will enter especially BTC. I will predict that most will go into Gold though.
2. 100k in this cycle is unlikely due to the psychological nature of the number 100k. Bitcoin is simply not ripe enough for such a high price. Ask your self, your friends or any retailer if they are ready to buy BTC at 100k?
Exactly. Remember that whales don't make money by pushing the price as high as possible. To make money, they need to sell at a price which requires buyers.
What most likely will happen is, that the whales will try to push the price to squeeze the last money out of retailers. Retailers will FOMO in all the way below 100k hoping for a miracle to occur, but around 85k-90kish, boom, the whales will start to schock mass sell.
3. That we will go below 30k in this cycle is super likely. History repeats it self, and Bitcoin usually drops at least 80 % every cycle.
"Long" Term
1. We haven't had a real bear market for 15 years in stocks. Usually we have one every 7 years. We have never before seen such a rise. FED has been printing money like crazy just to give them out to private banks and hedge funds, so they can buy more stocks, and bait retailers into buying more and more.
Soon the same whales will mass sell, and become even more rich while the poor will be more poor. The gap between rich and poor is now even bigger than before, which is a catastrophe for all low- and mid-income people, since it will lead to hyperinflation, and eventually a depression for at least a couple of years.
That is also why you need to be aware of it, and if you are in the markets atm you should consider to secure some of your money asap. Then you just wait for the depression phase, where you slowly can start to accumulate again. Don't be greedy, my friends.
What should You do now?
Right now the best thing is to stay out of the market. The price is dancing around 57k, and we are in a big liquidity zone, where we can expect a lot of fluctuation.
Whales love these zones, and will always try to steer the market towards them, cause they only are able to make money here. It requires zones of lots of money to make lots of money - remember that. They will continue to go up and down as long as they can to liquidate retailers.
If we make a higher high at 70k, you can go long.
-----------
I will soon also give you concrete trading ideas too. Please follow me - it will make me happy.
Kind Regards Laplace's Demon
PS. Remember to be grateful for the small things in life, and strive not to focus on what you don't have.
Feel free to donate, if you like my work. It's much appreciated.
Pernyataan Penyangkalan
Informasi dan publikasi tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan bukan merupakan saran keuangan, investasi, perdagangan, atau rekomendasi lainnya yang diberikan atau didukung oleh TradingView. Baca selengkapnya di Persyaratan Penggunaan.