As we discussed, BANKNIFTY opened sideways and retested 53000 levels, which started to fall and gave a nice bearish momentum. If we look at the chart now: The market has broken the resistance to the downside with a good bearish momentum. Support levels: 52023, 51830, and 200 EMA Resistance levels: 50 EMA, 52403, 52689
If we look at the OI data: PCR = 0.64, which has changed from 1.32, shows bears are making their position and selling high points. So, some correction can be expected here. 53500 is Max-Pain.
I am expecting a correction in the market till 200 EMA.
Reason:
RSI < 40 falling and also having divergence, which might lead the market to some correction.
EMA(200) < Price < EMA(13, 50), which indicates the market can take some correction till 200 EMA.
PCR = 0.64, which shows that the market is strongly Bearish.
Price < VWAP shows a Bearish market structure.
Verdict: Sideways or Bearish
Plan of action: wait for 15 min candle. Let the market take resistance at 13 EMA or 50 EMA. Once you see the direction bearish. Sell 52400 CE (Hedge it with 20/- premium)
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