After analyzing the Bank Nifty charts, I am expecting a 10% fall in the index, as there are clear signs of a breakdown on the weekly and monthly timeframes. Here are the details of the analysis:
Key Observations: 1. **Support Levels:** - Immediate support lies in the 47,000-48,000 range. - Once these levels are broken, the next key support levels are around 43,300-44,000, indicating a potential 10% decline from the current levels.
2. **Price and Volume Analysis:** - Volume analysis aligns with the price action, highlighting 44,000 as a strong support zone. - A triple top chart pattern is visible on higher timeframes, which is a bearish reversal pattern, further supporting the bearish outlook.
3. **Macro-Economic Factors:** - Weak Q3 results from companies may act as a catalyst for the decline. - The Indian Rupee has shown signs of weakness, adding pressure on the banking sector.
4. **Foreign Money Outflow:** - Continued sell-off due to foreign institutional investor (FII) outflows could further exacerbate the downtrend.
Important Note: This analysis is purely for **educational purposes only** and should not be considered as investment advice. Please conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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