Avalanche Pre-2025 Bull-Market Accumulation Zone & Strategy

10 Agu

By now, you already know the theme... Accumulation before bullish-wave. Bullish wave to end in a bullish-run.


Avalanche vs Bitcoin: An Analogy

The accumulation phase can be seen as the training phase, the preparation period. Let's make a comparison. Bitcoin produced a very strong $21,000 USD drop in a short period of 7 days. This from $70,000 to $49,000. You could say in a flash.
For this event to become possible, there was a 4.5 months consolidation phase. From the 14th of March until the 29th of July Bitcoin moved sideways and finally enough force was accumulated to produce the bearish move.

Bitcoin moved below $20,000 in August 2022. I am doing this from memory as usual, so please correct me in the comments if I am wrong. For Bitcoin to move back to baseline level, above $20,000, it took five months. $20,000 was already the main support/low, but even to go back to this main level a strong accumulation phase was needed.

Here comes the better example: In 2023 Bitcoin ranged above $20,000 for 7 months. This is the long accumulation phase that was necessary for Bitcoin to move from ~$25,000 to $74,000. There is always a period of consolidation before a major move. This is a law of nature.

Avalanche. The long accumulation phase in 2022/23 is part of the preparing period for the major bull-market in 2025. The medium-sized bullish wave in late 2023-early 2024 is "wave 1" of a much, much bigger structure. This is the beginning of the bull-market. We are now in the corrective phase.

Avalanche is set to enter a new and short accumulation phase before the next major bullish wave and this major bullish wave is part of our "full-blown bull-market." A bull-market ends in a bull-run which means a new All-Time High.


Avalanche New All-Time High Potential Revealed!

👉 AVAXUSDT can reach a new ATH of $382 according to my calculations.

Plotting the Fibonacci extension tool on this chart, from the bottom of the bear market to the previous ATH, we get $232 as 1.618 (Golden ratio) and $370 as 2.618. Notice how close these numbers are.
I can use three to five different methods to project future potential targets and they all end within the same range. This gives me confidence that these numbers are good and they've been working fine in the past. With that said, please keep in mind that these are just projections and anything goes. The final target can be much higher just as it can end up much lower; the future for sure we can't really know. We can predict with a very high level of accuracy the market direction, down or up; but the timing and specific numbers are harder to come by, but we can get close.

With this information, we now have a map and so we can plan and prepare ahead of time.


Strategy: Buy and hold.

➖Are you going to wait for a new drop?
What if a new drop doesn't happen?

➖Are you going to catch the bottom?
What if you miscalculate or miss it for whatever reason?

In our strategy, we define a range where we "buy everything" we can. For example, "I can buy everything below $20." With the intention of holding for the long-term. The long-term is the top of the next bullish wave. By "top," I mean when the market is rising and full green. We don't know the exact top, so it is enough to be in green and in profits. Grateful not greedy.

No leverage, no margin, results in no risk.

If you buy an altcoin you have the tokens. This is not a trade, you have the tokens, that's it.

To lose money, you need to sell them at a lower price than the price you bought them. If you hold them long-term, you can't lose. The worst case scenario, with this thinking, is a long-term hold. Once the wait is over we can sell when prices are up.
(Some projects can disappear altogether but this is something we have no control over.)

Since the bear-market was in 2022 and we have been having a correction for almost five months, we can be sure that we will have green within 3-6 months. That's it.

We cannot be perfect nor want to be perfect; we just want to win and be successful for once. Since we cannot defeat billionaires and whales, we just buy and hold.

If I try to defeat a centralized exchange, trading on its own platform, that's a sure loss. Remember, they hold your money and know all of your actions, they will beat you everything time because they have algorithms that will push you and pressure you until you bend and fold. You are not trading against traders but against institutions and exchanges. There is a big difference.

Instead, forget the trading; 95% of traders are losing money everyday.
Focus on buying and holding and think long-term.

Oh yes... Think long-term.
This is a great time to do so.

Once prices are low, think long-term.
That's surely a winning strategy.

I hope to see you as a millionaire by the time the next bull market ends.

I love you my dear friend.

Namaste.