Avalanche (AVAXUSD) hit on May 12 the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up that started after its February 10 2021 High. That was its first High and May 12 marked its second Higher Lows. Assuming that holds, the pattern will continue to hold and we will have to look for specific markers in order to time a new uptrend.
As you see, there are three indicators that broke in a specific order during the last rise to a Higher High. First the price broke above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) following the Higher Low consolidation. Then the RSI on the 1W time-frame crossed above its MA. Finally the 1W MACD made a Bullish Cross. Keep an eye on those conditions and plan a potential buy strategy accordingly.
On the other hand, a weekly (1W) candle closing below the Higher Lows trend-line of the Channel Up, can set in motion the lower Fibonacci extensions, namely the -0.236 and -0.382 before the market bottoms out.
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