Good evening, it seems that the AUD is grinding against the Dollar and will inevitably return to the fair value area that it had maintained for some time before the bearish cycle that got cut off early.
The reason for this is the increasing uncertainty about the degree in rate hikes for the Dollar, the increasing problem of inflation for the Dollar, and the risk on sentiments churning underneath the hood all of which contribute to the bullish scenario we have been seeing the AUD experience against the dollar. The technicals seem to indicate exhaustion, but in my opinion, this is simply accumulation prior to the big move in my humble opinion.
The bulls seem to be holding the break of its prior bullish channel on the upside quite well, as they'd need a quite strong bullish move to establish the AUDUSD within proximity of its past fair value area. Now, this is only speculation and not financial advice... but I personally will be going long on the AUDUSD, will give an update on the outcome of the play. God bless, trade safe.
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