AUDUSD stays depressed inside three-week-old falling channel

2 Feb 2021

Despite no change in RBA’s interest rate announcement, AUDUSD remains depressed below a short-term bearish chart formation. The reason could be traced from the RBA statement suggesting the downward pressure on the inflation target, which in turn pushed the Aussie central bank to extend the Quantitative Easing (QE) beyond the current expiry of April by the same $100 billion bundle. That said, AUDUSD bears are currently targeting the support line of the stated channel, near 0.7575. However, any further downside is less likely amid market optimism. It should, however, be noted that a sustained weakness past-0.7575 will direct the quote towards late-December bottom surrounding 0.7460.

Meanwhile, a confluence of one-week-old falling resistance line and 200-SMA, around 0.7675, offers a tough nut to crack for the AUDUSD bulls. Also acting as the key upside barrier is the upper line of the aforementioned channel, at .7735 now. In a case where the market’s upbeat sentiment propels the quote beyond 0.7735, January’s multi-month top above 0.7800 will be refreshed.