AUD/USD: Tech outlook and review – short from 0.7440...
While the commodity currency maintained its offered tone below the H4 mid-level resistance pegged at 0.7450 yesterday, price was relatively subdued due to US banks being closed in observance of Memorial Day. However, we did happen to short this pair yesterday at 0.7440. For those who read Monday’s report you may recall our desk mentioning that we’re waiting for a second retest of 0.7450 to be seen. The candle rejection from this line was enough to reassure us that the bears remain in control.
In addition to the above, we also knew that weekly price was trading from a resistance area planted at 0.7524-0.7446. This produced a reasonably strong-looking selling wick last week which could imply further downside may be on the cards. Neighboring support rests in the form of a nearby trendline support etched from the low 0.6827. Also of interest were the daily candles. We do not see much in the way of support on the daily timeframe until we reach the support zone marked at 0.7284-0.7326 (fuses nicely with the aforementioned weekly trendline support).
Our suggestions: Ultimately, we are targeting the 0.74 handle as our initial take-profit target. Granted, we do have a H4 demand lurking nearby marked with a green arrow around 0.7420, which may produce a minor reaction. The more appealing area, however, remains around the 0.74 level, since it merges with a H4 61.8% Fib support taken from the low 0.7328 and a H4 Quasimodo support at 0.7394.
Data points to consider: Australian Building approvals at 2.30am. US PCE price index at 1.30pm, US Consumer confidence at 3pm GMT+1.
Levels to watch/live orders:
• Buys: Flat (stop loss: N/A).
• Sells: 0.7440 (live, stop loss: 0.7463).
In addition to the above, we also knew that weekly price was trading from a resistance area planted at 0.7524-0.7446. This produced a reasonably strong-looking selling wick last week which could imply further downside may be on the cards. Neighboring support rests in the form of a nearby trendline support etched from the low 0.6827. Also of interest were the daily candles. We do not see much in the way of support on the daily timeframe until we reach the support zone marked at 0.7284-0.7326 (fuses nicely with the aforementioned weekly trendline support).
Our suggestions: Ultimately, we are targeting the 0.74 handle as our initial take-profit target. Granted, we do have a H4 demand lurking nearby marked with a green arrow around 0.7420, which may produce a minor reaction. The more appealing area, however, remains around the 0.74 level, since it merges with a H4 61.8% Fib support taken from the low 0.7328 and a H4 Quasimodo support at 0.7394.
Data points to consider: Australian Building approvals at 2.30am. US PCE price index at 1.30pm, US Consumer confidence at 3pm GMT+1.
Levels to watch/live orders:
• Buys: Flat (stop loss: N/A).
• Sells: 0.7440 (live, stop loss: 0.7463).
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