AUJ/JPY 1/25/2021 19:30 Fundamental/Sentimental Cot: Correlation with hedge funds seems to be there but very inconsistent. The Japanese Yen is the only one that moves price sometimes preceding, the Australians are a joke and they always lag behind, sometimes far too late. These banks change their positions so frequently, it’s hard to say but some likeliness more longs will enter the market, although previous longs form last week have not affected price. News and Events: CPI report may encourage MM to dump some orders on the 26th and 27th. Technical Time Frame Analysis: Monthly Exhaustion on impulse to the upside Touching a supporting trend line Entering a very strong structural level very weak Monthly promises near shorts Weekly Sellers have not come into the market for quite some time Seems unlikely that buyers could possibly push this any further Consolidation is the most optimistic scenario for buyers Structural level at the top of the 1st impulse is attractive Daily Too much exhaustion Very much oversold, but sellers don't have too much control over price action 4H More exhaustion, buyers can't fight off sellers rn Indicated by H&S as well This is suspiciously easy Indicators: RSI supports shorts 100% Entry Order: Market Sell Position: 0.02, 5000USD RR: 3.46
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