AUD/JPY is the quintessential "carry trade" pair among the majors given Australia's clear link to global growth and Japan's persistent near-zero interest rates.
After a strong start to the year, the pair has dropped over -1100 pips (-10%) in just the last 3 weeks along, underscoring the risk with crowded carry trades. A near-term bounce is possible, but with the BOJ starting to raise interest rates, it's unlikely we'll see the same level of enthusiasm for AUD/JPY longs any time soon.
-MW