AUDCHF: RBA and SNB Can Send Pair even higher

23 Sep

In this article, I will take a closer look at AUD/CHF, and the reason for focusing on this pair is the potential divergence between the RBA and the SNB, which could push the pair even higher. The RBA is expected to hold rates at 4.35%, as inflation slightly increased year-on-year to 3.8% in the second quarter, up from 3.6% in the first quarter. On the other hand, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) may once again cut rates, which could help keep AUD/CHF in an uptrend.

Looking at the wave structure, we have seen a very nice ABC setback down to 0.5605, which ended in mid-September. Ideally, we are now in a new impulsive phase. However, for this current leg up to be completed, we need to see five waves up, and based on the subdivisions, that is not the case yet. In fact, a wave four correction could appear in the next few days, presenting an opportunity to join the uptrend. Support can be found around the 0.5780 area, which also aligns with the previous wave B swing area.
The price should not fall below 0.5729, otherwise the wave count will become invalid.