ASX200/AUS200 "Australia 200" Indices Market Bearish Heist Plan

3 hari yang lalu

🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍

Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the ASX200/AUS200 "Australia 200" Indices Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉

Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise placing Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.

Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (8360) swing Trade Basis Using the 3H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.

Target 🎯: 8000 (or) Escape Before the Target

🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.

📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Sentimental Outlook:
ASX200/AUS200 "Australia 200" Indices Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend in short term, driven by several key factors.

⭐Fundamental Analysis
Earnings: Q4 2024 EPS growth strong for ASX 200 firms (e.g., banks, miners); Q1 2025 prelims suggest resilience—bullish.
Rates: RBA at 4.35% (stable, Feb 2025)—high yields vs. ECB (2.5%) pressure equities—bearish.
Inflation: Australia at 2.8% (Jan 2025)—above RBA’s 2-3% target, mixed impact.
Growth: GDP ~1.5% (Q4 2024 est.)—steady, mildly bullish.
Geopolitics: U.S.-China tariffs shift trade to Australia—bullish for miners.

⭐Macroeconomic Factors
U.S.: Fed at 3-3.5%, PCE 2.6%—USD softness aids AUD—bullish (Eurostat/U.S. data).
Eurozone: PMI 46.2—stagnation pressures global equities—bearish
Global: China 4.5%, Japan 1%—slow growth, commodity demand soft—bearish (ECB forecasts).
Commodities: Iron ore ~1100/TON, oil $70.44—stable, neutral for ASX miners/energy (global data).
Trump Policies: Tariffs (25% Mexico/Canada, 10% China)—benefits Australian exports—bullish.

⭐Global Market Analysis
Equity Markets: S&P 500 at 5,990, DAX ~19,000—range-bound, neutral correlation with ASX.
Commodities Influence: Stable mining/energy sectors (BHP, Rio Tinto) support ASX—bullish.
Liquidity: High trading volume reflects global interest—bullish stability.

⭐Commitments of Traders (COT) Data
Speculators: Net long ~60,000 contracts (down from 70,000)—cautious bullishness (global futures).
Hedgers: Net short ~65,000—stable, locking in highs.
Open Interest: ~130,000 contracts—steady global interest, neutral.

⭐Market Sentiment Analysis
Retail: 55% short contrarian upside—bullish potential.
Institutional: Mixed—optimism for miners, caution on rates—neutral.
Corporate: Firms hedge at 8,600-8,650—neutral.
Social media Trends: Bearish bias to 8,200-8,160—bearish short-term (

⭐Positioning Analysis
Speculative: Longs target 8,675-8,700, shorts aim for 8,080-8,000.
Retail: Shorts at 8,568-8,600—squeeze risk if price rises.
Institutional: Balanced, commodity-focused optimism.

⭐Next Trend Move
Technical:
Support: 8080-8000
Resistance: 8,675-8,700
Below 8,080 targets 8,000; above 8,675 aims for 8,750.
Short-Term (1-2 Weeks): Dip to 8,000 if risk-off persists; rebound to 8,700 if support holds.
Medium-Term (1-3 Months): Range 8,080-8,800, tariff-driven.

⭐Overall Summary Outlook
ASX 200 at 8,080.00 balances bullish fundamentals (earnings, tariffs, commodity stability) with bearish pressures (global slowdown, RBA rates, sentiment). COT shows cautious longs, positioning suggests short-term caution, and global trends support a dip before recovery. Short-term downside to 8,000 likely, with medium-term upside to 8,800 if macro stabilizes.

📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.

⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits

💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩

3 hari yang lalu

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