๐ ADBE Earnings Play โ Moderately Bullish into AMC (2025-06-11)
Ticker:
ADBE (Adobe Inc.)
Event: Earnings Report โ ๐ June 12, After Market Close
Bias: โ Moderately Bullish | Confidence: 72%
Strategy: Single-leg Call | Expiry: June 13, 2025
๐ Market & Options Snapshot
โข Price: ~$416.06
โข Historical Move: ~6.5% avg. post-earnings (5 of 8 quarters up)
โข IV Rank: 0.75 โ Elevated, with expected 25โ30% crush post-release
โข Narrative Drivers: AI/Creative segment strength, positive analyst sentiment
โข Max Pain: $400 (below current price, but overshadowed by bullish catalysts)
๐ง AI Model Consensus
โ Bullish Bias (3/4 Models):
Grok/xAI & Llama/Meta: Favor the $420 Call (ask $12.65) for a balanced risk/reward
Gemini/Google: Also bullish, suggests call spread but agrees $420 Call is viable
โ ๏ธ Contrarian (1/4 โ DeepSeek):
Flags overbought RSI & IV crush risk
Proposes a deep-OTM $472.50 Call for asymmetric upside (lower conviction)
โ Recommended Trade Setup
๐ฏ Direction: CALL
๐ Strike: $420
๐ Expiry: 2025-06-13 (weekly after earnings)
๐ต Entry Price: $12.65
๐ฏ Profit Target: $15.00 (+19%)
๐ Stop Loss: $10.00 (โ21%)
๐ Confidence: 72%
โฐ Entry Timing: Pre-earnings close
๐ Size: 2 contracts (โ2% portfolio risk)
โ ๏ธ Key Risks
IV Crush: If the move disappoints, premium may collapse
Overbought RSI: Short-term pullback risk pre-release
Negative Surprise: Weak guidance could send stock lower
Volatility Whipsaws: Earnings reactions can be choppyโuse disciplined stops
๐ฌ Are you playing Adobe this quarter? Calls or skips? Drop your strategy below!
Ticker:
Event: Earnings Report โ ๐ June 12, After Market Close
Bias: โ Moderately Bullish | Confidence: 72%
Strategy: Single-leg Call | Expiry: June 13, 2025
๐ Market & Options Snapshot
โข Price: ~$416.06
โข Historical Move: ~6.5% avg. post-earnings (5 of 8 quarters up)
โข IV Rank: 0.75 โ Elevated, with expected 25โ30% crush post-release
โข Narrative Drivers: AI/Creative segment strength, positive analyst sentiment
โข Max Pain: $400 (below current price, but overshadowed by bullish catalysts)
๐ง AI Model Consensus
โ Bullish Bias (3/4 Models):
Grok/xAI & Llama/Meta: Favor the $420 Call (ask $12.65) for a balanced risk/reward
Gemini/Google: Also bullish, suggests call spread but agrees $420 Call is viable
โ ๏ธ Contrarian (1/4 โ DeepSeek):
Flags overbought RSI & IV crush risk
Proposes a deep-OTM $472.50 Call for asymmetric upside (lower conviction)
โ Recommended Trade Setup
๐ฏ Direction: CALL
๐ Strike: $420
๐ Expiry: 2025-06-13 (weekly after earnings)
๐ต Entry Price: $12.65
๐ฏ Profit Target: $15.00 (+19%)
๐ Stop Loss: $10.00 (โ21%)
๐ Confidence: 72%
โฐ Entry Timing: Pre-earnings close
๐ Size: 2 contracts (โ2% portfolio risk)
โ ๏ธ Key Risks
IV Crush: If the move disappoints, premium may collapse
Overbought RSI: Short-term pullback risk pre-release
Negative Surprise: Weak guidance could send stock lower
Volatility Whipsaws: Earnings reactions can be choppyโuse disciplined stops
๐ฌ Are you playing Adobe this quarter? Calls or skips? Drop your strategy below!
Free Signals Based on Latest AI models๐ฐ: QuantSignals.xyz
Pernyataan Penyangkalan
Informasi dan publikasi tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan bukan merupakan saran keuangan, investasi, perdagangan, atau rekomendasi lainnya yang diberikan atau didukung oleh TradingView. Baca selengkapnya di Persyaratan Penggunaan.
Free Signals Based on Latest AI models๐ฐ: QuantSignals.xyz
Pernyataan Penyangkalan
Informasi dan publikasi tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan bukan merupakan saran keuangan, investasi, perdagangan, atau rekomendasi lainnya yang diberikan atau didukung oleh TradingView. Baca selengkapnya di Persyaratan Penggunaan.