Bitcoin expected price in this downturn

As Bitcoin has seen a major correction to the down side, other cryptos has followed suit. In anyway I believe we are still going down to at least touch the 200 moving average for BTC. I expect prices of around $56000. Though it's does not indicate a bear trend, I believe this is a repetition of historical events as BTC has shown time and time again to correct just before it's halving date.