$AAPL, -20% is pretty seems (almost) bound to happen
Diupdate
My 
AAPL posts tend to be 40/60 (not in my favor) - but this one is a bit more simple. The 20-50-200 "death cross" to me is over-rated, because in a market as bullish as this one has been, there's too many speculators that seem determined to keep price above certain levels to avoid the most overly-used technical indicators to meet. With the exception of 2006, there hasn't been the false signals you'd see with other moving averages such as a 50-200 SMA (even with the false signal in 2006, -24% drawdown followed). On the chart setup I usually use - AAPL has a bottom around $165, so I'm confident you won't see a break of that level without some type of re-trace ($183 expected, $193 high est. $205 max). Any one of those re-trace points (preferably $193) - hella nice opportunity to short. Buying the $165-$167 bottom wouldn't be a bad idea either, as long as you have a realistic target point. Nonetheless, avg drawdown after the (from the exact point of) MA crossover is -33.06% (NOT including DOT-COM Bubble). 140ish is a hell of alot closer than it seems (especially after seeing 
FB). But that $120-$125 gap from 01/2017 is something I'd definitely keep in the back of my mind if 2019 offers that nice of a discount.
AAPL posts tend to be 40/60 (not in my favor) - but this one is a bit more simple. The 20-50-200 "death cross" to me is over-rated, because in a market as bullish as this one has been, there's too many speculators that seem determined to keep price above certain levels to avoid the most overly-used technical indicators to meet. With the exception of 2006, there hasn't been the false signals you'd see with other moving averages such as a 50-200 SMA (even with the false signal in 2006, -24% drawdown followed). On the chart setup I usually use - AAPL has a bottom around $165, so I'm confident you won't see a break of that level without some type of re-trace ($183 expected, $193 high est. $205 max). Any one of those re-trace points (preferably $193) - hella nice opportunity to short. Buying the $165-$167 bottom wouldn't be a bad idea either, as long as you have a realistic target point. Nonetheless, avg drawdown after the (from the exact point of) MA crossover is -33.06% (NOT including DOT-COM Bubble). 140ish is a hell of alot closer than it seems (especially after seeing FB). But that $120-$125 gap from 01/2017 is something I'd definitely keep in the back of my mind if 2019 offers that nice of a discount. Catatan
Actually just to clarify - weekly support looks like $165-$163, so that should go to show just how weak the daily chart is. Would definitely be safer to see how price holds up around the $165-$167 range, though.Trading ditutup: target tercapai
Dope
Pernyataan Penyangkalan
Informasi dan publikasi tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan bukan merupakan saran keuangan, investasi, perdagangan, atau rekomendasi lainnya yang diberikan atau didukung oleh TradingView. Baca selengkapnya di Persyaratan Penggunaan.