NVDA at a Critical Level! Will This Bounce Hold or Break?
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Technical Analysis for February 27, 2025: 1. Current Price Action: * NVDA saw a significant drop but found temporary support near $124.39, aligning with a key volume area. * A falling wedge pattern has formed, with a slight breakout attempt before a rejection at $130-$132. * Strong volume increase at the lows suggests buyers are stepping in.
2. Key Levels to Watch: * Support: $124.39 (Previous low) → Critical level; if broken, next major demand zones are $120 & $115. * Resistance: $130 - $132 (Point of Control - POC) → Needs a break for bullish continuation. * Upside Targets: $138.50, $141.50, $143.44 (Major resistance walls).
3. Indicators Analysis: * MACD: Bearish momentum but could reverse if volume increases. * Stoch RSI: Oversold; potential for a short-term bounce. * Volume Profile: Heavy resistance at $130-$132; low liquidity below $124 could accelerate downside.
GEX & Option Strategy for Tomorrow and the Week: 1. Gamma Exposure (GEX) Insights: * Call Walls: $138.50, $143.44, $150 → Resistance areas; breaking these could trigger a gamma squeeze. * Put Walls: $120, $118, $115 → Key support zones where market makers may buy back short positions.
2. IV & Sentiment: * IVR: 59.4 (moderate) * IVx Avg: 87.1 (elevated) → High implied volatility favors option sellers. * Call Positioning: 16.9% bullish sentiment. * GEX Sentiment: Slightly bearish for now but could flip bullish above $132.
3. Trading Suggestions: * Bullish Setup: Long if NVDA reclaims $132; target $138-$143, stop $129. * Bearish Setup: Short if NVDA fails to hold $130; target $124-$120, stop $133. * Options Play: Selling put spreads at $120 support or call spreads near $143 resistance.
📌 My Thoughts & Suggestion: * NVDA is in a make-or-break zone at $130-$132; a strong break here could lead to a recovery toward $138-$143. * If market weakness continues, $124-$120 support could get tested. * Be cautious with options as IV is high, making premiums expensive.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading. 🚀
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