Ok… So the week ended and our mate USD decided to bounce off a key resistance level. At the same time, a beautiful looking Doji formed, which tells me that the market either has no clue where the next move is at or the bullish trend is about to end and a reversal is about to take place (see chart).
I've said before that “IF price ends the week below this level, then USD bulls may have exhausted themselves and USD bears may be about to step in”. I've also said that there have been three clear instances (now four) when price bounced off this resistance level.
Now you might be thinking “great, I’m going to sell this baby”… Before you jump into the water, I would be waiting for one more signal to confirm that a trend change has occurred (or not).
While the market was creating the Doji, it also decided at the same time to close above the 95.198 level, which used to be a mildly strong resistance level.
Therefore, what we have here is (1) a Doji that has formed at a significant resistance level and (2) price closing above 95.198, of which is a mildly strong resistance level.
For now, I’m not going to buy or sell USD when the market open’s on Monday… That would be crazy. As I said above, I need one more signal.
About me: Based in Melbourne Australia, I have been trading Forex for around three years. My real name is Andrew, I’m Australian born and trade Forex part-time. Follow me:andrewfx2020.com/ Twitter:twitter.com/Andrewfx2020
Short it only for retracement. Uptrend is established and it is a powerfull one!
AndrewFx2020
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:)
creaker
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index went to 93
creaker
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That is on Tuesday, already accurately you can say, the trend has changed or not, right?
AndrewFx2020
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Its possible... However, we have to first see how the market responds to this level. The market might just ignore it and continue north. Lets wait and see.
4thewin
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What about the 3 solider bullish reversal on the weekly?
4thewin
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with the inverted hammer to boot
AndrewFx2020
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Well, like I said, it's all about what happens next.. Trade safe mate, keep in touch.